Someone can tell that predicting Academy Awards nominees in late May is just waste of time. Well, maybe yes, maybe no. Agree that there are lots of films, potential nominees, that we have no idea and which premiere mostly very late December. But I'd say that academy has pretty predictable taste, especially when it comes down to Best Picture nominees. Total shut-outs do not happen frequently.
I'll predict 10 nominees for Best Motion Picture, however 9th and 10th place are those who have 50/50 chance getting in the list. So, let's start!
10. Foxcatcher - directed by Bennett Miller, an Oscar nominee director of Moneyball and Capote
Speaking about him, Bennet has directed two motion pictures, both Best Picture nominees. Himself got node for directing Capote. Miller directed three actors to Oscar nominations: Catherine Keener, Brad Pitt, and Jonah Hill and one to triumphal win - Philip Seymour Hoffman.
Perfect record for young movie maker. The same time, academy loves new-comers.
Foxcatcher is a true story of Olympic Wrestling Champion Mark Schultz and how paranoid schizophrenic John duPont killed his brother, Olympic Champion Dave Schultz. John duPont is wealthiest person ever to be convicted of murder.
Comedian Steve Carell stars as Du Pont, with Mark Ruffalo, Channing Tatum, and Sienna Miller in the cast. It really seems to be a great Oscar material with dramatic plot and real-life story.
9. Fruitvale Station - a film by debuting director Ryan Coogler
Ever noticed that since 2010 every big hit of Sundance made final list? Latest example is Beasts of Southern Wild - another directing debut that marched at Oscars with Directing and Best Picture nominations. Fruitvale Station won both - jury prize and audience award at Sundance, which most probably brings a great love of viewers and critics. It tells a true story of Oscar, a 22-year-old Bay Area resident, who crosses paths with friends, enemies, family, and strangers on the last day of 2008. This film seems to be quiet, emotional and thrilling - perfect match for nominee.
8. Inside Llewyn Davis - directed by Brother Coens
Coens are one of the Academy's favorites. Their films have won (No Country for Old Man) or got Best picture nominations lately. The last one, True Grit was listed in 10 nominations, but winning none. Both of them won 4 Oscars each, including directing and writing nods.
Inside Llewyn Davis follows a week in the life of a young folk singer as he navigates the Greenwich Village folk scene of 1961. Guitar in tow, huddled against the unforgiving New York winter, he is struggling to make it as a musician against seemingly insurmountable obstacles.
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