The shockers of Golden Globes and why it messed up Oscar predictions

The only win everyone got correct: Boyhood wins Drama Film

No matter what you predicted, you'd not get anything right, unless you predicted something really crazy. But it's mostly about TV categories, where The Affair, Transparent and Fargo were major winners, also awarding Matt Bomer in TV Supp. Actor nomination and Maggie Gyllenhall for The Honorable Woman.

When it came about Motion Picture category, we all thought there would no more surprises, but wrong, again!

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Golden Globe Winners

The winners of The 72nd Golden Globe Awards are:

MOTION PICTURE CATEGORY

Best Film Drama

Boyhood

Film Drama Actor

Eddie Redmayne in The Theory of Everything

Film Drama Actress

Julianne Moore in Still Alice

Best Film Musical/Comedy

The Grand Budapest Hotel

Film Musical/Comedy Actor

Michael Keaton in Birdman

Film Musical/Comedy Actress

Amy Adams in Big Eyes

Film Supporting Actor

J.K. Simmons in Whiplash

Film Supporting Actress

Patricia Arquette in Boyhood

Film Director

Richard Linklater for Boyhood

Film Screenplay

Birdman

Animated Feature

How To Train Your Dragon 2

Foreign Film

Leviathan - Russia

Original Score

The Theory of Everything

Original Song

`Glory` from Selma

TV CATEGORY

Drama Series

The Affair 

Drama Actor

Kevin Spacey in House of Cards

Drama Actress

Ruth Wilson in the Affair

Comedy Series

Transparent

Comedy Actress

Gina Rodriguez in Jane the Virgin

Comedy Actor
Jeffrey Tambor in Transparent

TV Movie/Limited Series

Fargo

TV Movie/Limited Series Actor

Billy Bob Thornton in Fargo

TV Movie/Limited Actress

Maggie Gyllenhaal in The Honorable Woman

TV Supporting Actor

Matt Bomer in The Normal Heart

TV Supporting Actress

Joanne Froggatt in Downton Abbey

Golden Globe Predicted Winners

These are the final predictions of this years Golden Globes few hours earlier than the awards ceremony, which will be hosted by brilliant Amy Poehler and Tina Fey, for the final time.

Winners in motion picture category will determine a lot in current Oscar race, since Globes has correctly guessed most winners in the past decade. 

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2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Less then 10 hours left before one of major awards this year. Already tomorrow, we'll know who's most probably going to win Oscars. Golden Globe is also important because it is the biggest award for TV Series and movies made for television. Here are my predicted winners of this Globe season:

Motion Picture Categories

Best Picture (Drama)

Gravity

Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)

American Hustle

Director

Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity

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the Road to Oscars: What Golden Globes say?

We already witnessed the results of 70th Annual Golden Globe awards.Some nominees were predictable, the others totally not predictable but all in all it shows general trend of this award season.

The surprise part:

Tom Hooper was snubbed in Best Director race and Quentin Tarantino got place instead. Does this really mean that Les Miserables was not that good as we all expected, or as good as we all have read after early screenings? For now, it is hard to discuss as long yet this is an unseen movie and for more than one week it will be hard to fairly discuss. However, I still believe that those early emotions and wows from critics/editors and bloggers were not something too overrated, accordingly there are still hopes for Hooper. Historically, Globe and Oscar winner directors are not suppose to match. Last year, Scorsese got HFPA award for Hugo however Michel Hazanavicious was honored with Oscar.

Beasts of Southern Wild has been lost. No single nomination. Quvenzhane Wallis is missed for the second time (also by SAG). Does it shorten her road to Oscars? Well, maybe she's got less chances however Academy loves young performers and almost never loses chance to honor them with nod.

The same time, it is first nomination for Rachel Weisz this season which shall not be considered to be a great opportunity for Oscar nomination.

The It-Is-OK part:

Christoph Waltz in supporting actor race (for Django Unchained) was not very much expected however his nod is not jaw-dropping news. He's not a shoo in Oscar nominee but probably it will take more easier for him than for Eddie Redmayne or Russel Crow (Les Miserables) or Matthew MacCaunaghey (Magic Mike).

Nicole Kidman boosts in supporting actress race leading over Ann Dowd of Compliance, Maggie Smith of The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel and Samantha Bark of Les Miserables.

The We-All-Knew-It part:

Katheryn Bigelow is marching to Oscars once more with the "same" war-theme movie. Zero Dark Thirty is sure nominee of Best Picture, Director, Actress and Original Screenplay. Lincoln of Spielberg is now leading the predictions for Best Picture, giving better chances to Steven for winning his directing nod.

All in All, we have expectations, we predict. However it is totally possible to be more surprises on January 10, 2013 after announcing Academy Award nominees.

Golden Globe Nominations 2013

Golden Globe Nominations 2013

Here are the nominees for 70th Annual Golden Globe Awards

Motion Picture Drama

• Argo
• Django Unchained
• Life of Pi
• Lincoln
• Zero Dark Thirty

Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

• The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
• Les Miserables
• Moonrise Kingdom
• Salmon Fishin in Yemen
• Silver Linings Playbook

Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama

• Daniel Day Lewis in `Lincoln`
• Richard Gere in `Arbitrage`
• John Hawkes in `The Sessions`
• Joaquin Phoenix in `The Master`
• Denzel Washington in `Flight`

Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama

• Jessica Chastain in `Zero Dark Thirty`
• Marion Cotillard in `Ruste and Bone`
• Helen Mirren in `Hitchcock`
• Naomi Wats in `The Impossible`
• Rachel Weisz in `The Deep Blue Sea`

Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

• Jack Black in `Barnie`
• Bradley Cooper in `Silver Linings Playbook`
• Hugh Jackman in `Les Miserables`
• Bill Murray in `Hyde Park on Hudson`
• Ewan McGregor in `Salmon Fishin in Yemen`

Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

• Emily Blunt in `Salmon Fishin in Yemen`
• Judy Dench in `The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel`
• Jeniferr Lawrence in `Silver Linings Playbook`
• Maggie Smith in `Quartet`
• Maryl Streep in `Hope Springs`

Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

• Alan Arkin in `Argo
• Leonardo Dicaprio in `Django Unchained`
• Philip Saymore Hoffman in `The Master`
• Tommy Lee Jones in` Lincoln`
• Christoph Waltz  in `Django Unchained`

Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

• Amy Adams in `The Master`
• Sally Field in `Lincoln`
• Anne Hathaway in `Les Miserables`
• Helen Hunt in `The Sessions`
• Nicole Kidman in `The Paperboy`

Best Director - Motion Picture

• Ben Afflec for `Argo`
• Katheryn Bigelow for `Zero Dark Thirty`
• Ang Lee for `Life of Pi`
• Stieven Spielberg for `Lincoln`
• Quentin Tarantino for `Django Unchained`

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture

• Amour - Michael Haneke
• Django Unchained - Quentin Tarantino
• Lincoln  - Tony Kusher
• Silver Linings Playbook - David O Russel
• Zero Dark Thirty - Mark Boal

Best Original Song - Motion Picture

• `For You` from Act of Valor
• `Not Running Anymore` from Stand Up Guys
• `Safe and Sound` from Hunger Games
• `Skyfall` from Skyfall
• `Suddenly` from Les Miserables

Best Original Score - Motion Picture

• Life of Pi
• Argo
• Anna Karenina
• Cloud Atlas
• Lincoln

Best Animated Film

• Brave
• Frankenweenie
• Rise Of the Guardians
• Hotel Transylvania
• Wreck-It Rapph

Best Foreign Language Film

• Amore
• Royal Affair
• The Intouchables
• Kon Tiki
• Rust and Bone

Golden Globe Predictions (TV Category)

In my previous post I predicted Golden Globe Motion Picture category, now it is time to look through TV Show categories that are more competitive this year than it was last year. 

This year couple of new Shows have been premiered and some of them are already considered to be major competitors (for example The Newsroom) for this award ceremony which means that some old series have to go back

(The shows are sorted in likelihood of nominating)

DRAMA SERIES

1. Homeland
2. Downtown Abbey
3. Mad Men
4. The Newsroom
5. Game of Thrones

TV DRAMA ACTOR

1. Damian Lewis in Homeland
2. Jeff Daniels in The Newsroom
3. Bryan Cranston in Breaking Bad
4. Jon Hamm in Mad Men
5. Michael C. Hall in Dexter*

TV DRAMA ACTRESS

1. Claire Danes in Homeland
2. Julianna Margulies in The Good Wife
3. Michele Dockery in Downtown Abbey
4. Connie Britton in Nashville
5. Emily Mortimer in The Newsroom

COMEDY SERIES

1. Modern Family
2. Girls
3. Veep
4. The New Normal
5. New Girl

TV COMEDY ACTOR

1. Louic C. K. in Louie
2. Matt LeBlanc in Episodes
3. Matthew Perry in Go On
4. Jim Parson in The Big Bang Theory
5. Alec Baldwin in 30 Rock

TV COMEDY ACTRESS

1. Julia Louis-Dreyfus in Veep
2. Amy Poehler in Parks and Recreations
3. Zooey Deschanel in Girls
4. Lena Dunham in Girls
5. Mindy Kaling in The Mindy Project

TV MOVIE/MINISERIES

1. Game Change
2. Sherlock
3. American Horror Story
4. Hatfields and McCoys
5. Political Animals

TV MOVIE/MINI ACTOR

1. Benedict Cumberbatch in Sherlock
2. Kevin Kostner in Hatfields and McCoys
3. Clive Owen in Hemingway and Gellhorn
4. Woody Harrelson in Game Change
5. Keneth Branagh in Wallander

TV MOVIE/MINI ACTRESS

1. Julianne Moore in Game Change
2. Sigourney Weaver in Political Animals
3. Nicole Kidman in Hemingway and Gellhorn
4. Queen Latifah in Steel Magnolias
5. Jessica Lange in American Horror Story

TV SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Peter Dinklage in Game of Thrones
2. Eric Stonestreet in Modern Family
3. Aaron Paul in Breaking Bad
4. Ed Harris in Game Change
5. Sam Waterson in The Newsroom

TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Sofia Vergara in Modern Family
2. Maggie Smith in Downtown Abbey
3. Julie Bowen in Modern Family
4. Ellen Burstyn in Political Animals
5. Ellen Barkin in The New Normal

Most likely to be omitted from the final list of Golden Globe nominations still are: Game of Thrones, last year winner Peter Dinklage, Emily Mortimer (The Newsroom) and Julia Bowen (Modern Family). But I still keep them in the list that can be changed in any moment, before nominee announcement.

* Michael C. Hall is not widely predicted for this nomination, but I consider him to be one of the best candidates this year. As Dexter's previous season was quite tough and he's already received a Emmy nomination this year, he can be in a list.

Golden Globe Predictions (Motion Picture Category)

On January 13, 2013 Hollywood Foreign Press Association will announce 2012 Golden Globe winners throughout the Motion Picture, Television Series and TV Movie categories.

Here are the very first predictions of upcoming biggest event:

(Nominees are listed in likelihood of winning/nominating)

Motion Picture Categories

DRAMA PICTURE

1. Argo
2. Life of Pi
3. Lincoln
4. The Master
5. Django Unchained

DRAMA ACTOR

1. Joaquin Phoenix in `The Master`
2. Daniel Day Lewis in`Lincoln`
3. Anthony Hopkins in `Hitchcock`
4. John Hawkes in `The Sessions`
5. Ben Affleck in `Argo`

DIRECTOR

1. Tom Hooper for `Les Miserables`
2. Ben Affleck for `Argo`
3. Steven Spielberg  for `Lincoln`
4. Paul Thomas Anderson for `The Master`
5. Ang Lee for `Life of Pi`

DRAMA ACTRESS

1. Keira Knightley in `Anna Karenina`
2. Jennifer Lawrence in `The Hunger Games`
3. Helen Mirren in `Hitchcock`
4. Marion Cotillard in `Rust and Bone`
5. Emanuelle Riva in `Amore`

COMEDY/MUSICAL PICTURE

1. Les Miserables
2. Silver Linings Playbook
3. Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
4. Moonrise Kingdom
5. Ted

COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR

1. Hugh Jackman in `Les Miserables`
2. Bill Murray in `Hyde Park On Hudson`
3. Bradley Cooper in `Silver Linings Playbook`
4. Channing Tatum in `Magic Mike`
5. Tommy Lee Jones in `Hope Springs`

COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS

1. Jennifer Lawrence in `Silver Linings Playbook`
2. Meryl Streep in` Hope Springs`
3. Maggie Smith in `Quartet`
4. Laura Linney in `Hyde Park on Hudson`
5. Judy Dench in `Best Exotic Marigold Hotel`

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Leonardo DiCaprio in `Django Unchained`
2. Philip Saymour Hoffman in `The Master`
3. Robert De Niro in `Silver Linings Playbook`
4. Alan Arkin in `Argo`
5. Russel Crow in `Les Miserables`

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Anne Hathaway in `Les Miserables`
2. Amy Adams in `The Master`
3. Sally Field in `Lincoln`
4. Helen Hunt in `The Sessions`
5. Maggie Smith in `Best Exotic Marygold Hotel`

ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Brave
2. Rise of Guardians
3. Wreck-it Ralph
4. Frankenweenie
5. Paranorman

SCREENPLAY

1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Django Unchained
5. The Master

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

1. The Intouchables
2. Amour
3. Rust and Bone
4. A Royal Affair
5. No

BEST SCORE

1. Life of Pi
2. Brave
3. Lincoln
4. The Master
5. Anna Karenina

BEST SONG

1. `Suddenly` from Les Miserables
2. `Learn Me Right` from Brave
3. `Touch the Sky` from Brave
4. `Skyfall` from Skyfall
5. `Midnight Run` from Lawless

TV Categories